Is the Presidential election fair?
In the Electoral College, there are two distortions to the “one-person, one-vote” principle.
The best known is that small states still get 3 votes (one for each congressman and senator).
Less known but also significant is that voter registration varies significantly. The population size of New Jersey is roughly the same as that in North Carolina, but in New Jersey, a lot fewer people can vote. So each voter there has proportionally less weight.
The chart below shows in increasing order the states that benefit most from the Electoral College system, with Florida getting the worst deal and Wyoming getting the best.
Conservatives often reject calls to eliminate the Electoral College with the reasoning that it would increase the importance of California and New York. It would, but not nearly as much as for Texas, North Carolina, and Georgia.
State E.C. votes voters for 1 E.C. vote (‘000’s)
Florida 27 480
Pennsylvania 21 456
Texas 34 452
North Carolina 15 445
Michigan 17 438
Georgia 15 437
Ohio 20 434
Virginia 13 433
Illinois 28 429
New York 31 428
Tennessee 11 426
Washington 11 425
Wisconsin 10 420
Arizona 10 419
California 55 410
…
Alaska 3 180
North Dakota 3 166
Vermont 3 166
D.C. 3 148
Wyoming 3 134
This means that voters in Florida should be most upset about the Electoral College, as they have the least voice per-voter. While Californian's shouldn't be particularly happy, either, there are fifteen other states ahead of them in line to complain.
It also means that Democrats and Republicans shouldn't see elimination of the Electoral College as a partisan issue. Affected states cover a broad geographic and political range, so that enacting direct elections by popular vote wouldn't favor any candidate... except the one best liked by the voters.
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